Geopolitical Risk

[kiwi2007]

This is by far the best assessment of the whole state of affairs in Ukraine that I've seen. Written by a well respected Intelligence analyst it may be two months old but it's still relevant.

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2023/04/ukraine-war-is-this-ukraines-last-chance-to-defeat-russia.html

I should add that I'd love to see the Russians not just having to withdraw from Ukraine but to be totally humiliated. Whether we've given them enough tools to do that though is debatable.

[kiwi2007]

Russia did not face an imminent security threat to justify its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Yevgeny Prigozhin, the founder of Russia's Wagner mercenary outfit, said in a bombshell video posted on social media Friday.

"The Armed Forces of Ukraine were not going to attack Russia with the NATO bloc," Prigozhin explained in the half-hour tirade released by his press service.

"The Russian Defense Ministry is deceiving the public and the president," he added.

https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/06/23/wagner-chief-says-russias-invasion-of-ukraine-unjustified-a81609

(Yevgeny Prigozhin - Russia's next president?)

[Waltzing]

Palace Coupe...

Kremlin is now in the WPMG groups sights...

Wagner chief launches military coup against the Kremlin

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/06/23/russia-war-ukraine-based-on-lie-yevgeny-prigozhin/

Will there be another film one day like "Death of Stalin"....

Nothing can be a funny as that...

[Waltzing]

Controlling the Masses ...

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/06/23/china/china-graduation-photos-youth-unemployment-intl-hnk-dst/index.html

[winner (n)]

Waltz ...is Russia invading Russia

What happens if Russia wins

[Waltzing]

Winner() as we have been out for the evening WALTZING around ... yes exactly that and must say the Central WakaToo puts on a lovely evening of Australian evening swing waltz followed by a champagne supper... and stone the outback crows ....

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/06/24/russia-ukraine-coup-wagner-kremlin-yevgeny-prigozhin/

[Waltzing]

STAY HOME!!!!  WE are in CONTROL!!!

https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-wagner-rebellion-ukraine/32474188.html

"Whos side are you on?"  "My side says a young man".

[Waltzing]

Oh they are hitting them with the CV90 in BAK BAK... deadly ... anyone had a go in one of these?

https://edition.cnn.com/europe/live-news/russia-ukraine-war-news-06-25-23/h_d21217c6825296842bfb5a21fc37837e

[Waltzing]

ISW outlines the move by WPMG on moscow and the loss of russian aircraft and service men.

If elements of the Russian military had joined the fight russia could well now be in Civil War...

Pitty as the last one was a real Hum Dinger...

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-june-25-2023

are we seeing a Death of Stalin moment?  Probably not but really nothing sane has been happening in that place for centuries...

Could they really do something silly at ZAP ....

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/06/25/vladimir-putin-disappears-question-how-wagner-close-moscow/

The average person IN THE STREET does not appear to back the current bunch of crooks in the K building...

The CBCk....

CV90's sent a while ago... Ukraine now got a lot of kit turning up...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yw0W2Yr5L-g

[Waltzing]

Kremlins internal wars and the blame game... its turning into Death of Stalin with many chapters to go..

Is it likely that europe now realises Russia is far weaker than it imagined.. WPMG shot down attacking aircraft after aircraft on the road to moscow showing the world how easy it was if they are out in the open skys... including a very big one...

https://www.spiegel.de/international/world/yevgeny-prigozhin-wagner-uprising-likely-to-have-far-reaching-consequences-a-438f8aa4-724d-46a1-84e7-027725c851e8

[Waltzing]

As Prerun should be pointing out or already has the approach from the west is catch up.

Supplying what the Ukraine needs last year.....

To breach the complex russian defenses created obviously by experts the west has not provided the equipment and training required to in time.

The west has shown itself tragically unprepared for war and has been lead by socialist graduates from universities with arts degrees and Scientist like Muckle who were anti nuclear power..

UK general warns of unpreparedness ..

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2023/06/26/credible-force-british-army-chief-of-staff-hitler-1930s/

[notmaurice]

Will the Wagner Group soldiers still be getting paid because i presume Putin surely would have locked access to the accounts.

[Waltzing]

FOR OVER A DECADE the polish have been warning ..

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4N2_qi3xGEs

Hiding in plain sight...

https://edition.cnn.com/europe/live-news/russia-ukraine-war-news-06-26-23/index.html
 
For all you europhiles out there ... come get some... reality.
 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xU0rMELI_gc

[snapiti]

I am picking the NZX50 is under 11000 come election day as the punters worry about a close election and the thought of having Labour and Greens running the show......I will also repeat what I have already said on another thread, a Grabour government will have offshore funds leaving in droves and the NZX50 will lose 20% in the following 12 months

[Waltzing]

Perhaps this was an election post but none the less the biggest risk to NZX is ... in NZ!!! The enemy is NZ!

Local Risk then is high best have stocks with revenue dominated in more than one currency....

Hedging your bets ...

Money could well flee to these stocks.

Certainly this GOVT has no news for business, NADA...

and that is a BIG RISK..