Geopolitical Risk

[Waltzing]

The situation appears to be a complete mess 

https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/middle-east-conflict-live-updates-donald-trump-threatens-to-destroy-irans-kharg-island-if-peace-deal-not-reached/EEHH4CNVRNA3DFBQE5C5XXHGUQ/
 
total shambles...
 

[Waltzing]

Notice Kiwi's are not yet protesting outside the US embassy in wellington... those were the days when all over the western world the young uni students were out in force... Vietnam ....

victory... smell it..


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1RHo_ZG-YGo

[BlackPeter]

CNBC this afternoon all about the wall that the speeding car is heading towards...

Its only 20 percent of world oil and apparently thats enough to push to over 140 and at that point economies start to slow..

its called a slow train wreck....

There will be OIL but watch what happens next...

Must be time for countries starting to buy instead of boycott all these amazing Chinese EV cars ...

https://restofworld.org/2026/china-ev-exports-competition-price/

Which means Trump is doing his best to boost the Chinese economy. Well done!

[Waltzing]

This is where they are going to land?

This is the island the world doesnt know about..? who does you to busy in the back garden with those never say die weeds!!!

Or clear that last remaining tree over hanging the north west boundary fence... Garden keep you busy.. to busy to notice the real world especially if your been boating for 20 years like some people here and you havnt had time to keep the garden under control....

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2026/04/01/iranian-fortress-at-the-centre-of-the-battle-for-hormuz/

[Plata]

The market seems so detached from reality. Japan index rallying 5% on peace hopes from trump comments and an effectively powerless iranian parliment member saying they are open to peace. All the moderate IRGC members are dead and have been replaced with hardliners and religous fanatics, and the Ayatollah's family has been blown to bits. Meanwhile Iran is still being crippled by sanctions and still has its enriched uranium. How can there be peace? I'm selling into this where applicable, not playing the trump tweet game anymore.

[Otago K]

.....................
, not playing the trump tweet game anymore.

At risk of paranoia, see some BBC you tube coverage of the futures: oil, equities, and bonds markets show spikes in contrarian trades 15 minutes before some random trump social media posts that flip market sentiments that will cause a flurry of trade activity, suggestions it's billions of profits at play, and isn't likely to be up for review by markets trading authorities now in the USA, um because Trump has effectively deconstructed or hamstrung their effectiveness?. Unusual trading activity, is Trump genuinely random or just playing as the common man persona in his engagement style for financial self interest.

[Waltzing]

The USA is not a civilised country and never really was. Its a wild west and will always be one...

https://edition.cnn.com/2026/04/01/politics/trump-iran-water-plants-strikes

[Waltzing]

here we go... war not over and oil on the move... it could get bad people...

sorry to say this but there is no US plan.. they seem to think they can take the SH or something.. do they even know what they are doing? maybe they will now do what? Bomb then back to the stone age?

War crimes going on as the US just bombed a big bridge...

The US seems to be on the edge of evilness...

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/2/bomb-back-to-the-stone-age-us-history-of-threats-and-carpet-bombing

time to kick the US out of New Zealand? of course the government wont do that...

but we will become complicit..

US tried to get poland to send Missile defense systems to the middle east...

What next will the US ask for assistance from AUS and NZ?

[Recaster]

Remember US is just a proxy for Israel.

Using a mafia analogy think of Trump as the underboss and Netanyahu as the Godfather.

AIPAC is the grease in the movement.

[Waltzing]

The USA should taken to the HAGUE and TRUMP and his administration tried... lets hope they are and they cant walk freely about in european country's...

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cp86mrj40e2o

[Waltzing]

Track a Ship ....carrying Aircraft Fuel...will air transport now take a hit.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zUH1yNb3UFM

[BlackPeter]

Sounds like Trump and Putins best friend in Europe lost big ... Orban conceded, and it looks like Magyar even managed to get the 2/3 majority.

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/c2d8zw2d3rkt

No doubt Trumps strong support for the hungarian crook did help. Maybe we could ask Trump to start supporting the crooks in Iran, and they will starting to loose as well?

[BlackPeter]

Must be time for countries starting to buy instead of boycott all these amazing Chinese EV cars ...

https://restofworld.org/2026/china-ev-exports-competition-price/

Which means Trump is doing his best to boost the Chinese economy. Well done!

... and yes, here is the article:

https://nz.finance.yahoo.com/news/sign-china-is-winning-the-iran-war-as-byd-devours-the-globe-leading-position-020028111.html

Chinese cars now winning on the Australian market - and I am sure in the NZ-market as well).

Trump is just amazing in pushing the sales of all these amazing chinese electrical cars up. Well Done!

[Left Field]

Ousting of Hungary's Orban is good news for the EU and Ukraine.

And more bad news for Russia.