Geopolitical Risk

[Waltzing]

Did the IDF just do a spider web 2.0 impersonation?

as the fact become apparent... it looks like a full on penetration with drones of Iran... attack drones!!!

who told them to do this... copy cats? or cooperation....

or was it just great minds think a like!!!

[Waltzing]

Ok now this may seem off topic...  now we have to discuss a very import step or series of steps which are historic...

Historic steps need to be taken seriously... seriously.. now you might say marching is for the well.. people who like walking with a certain spring in there steps...

and there are many forms or style of marching depending on your instructors preferences..

There is the high kicking steps.. but dont try it in high heels... it dangerous for the person in front of you.. a pointy toe up the ... you know what of the marcher in front is well... its NOT NICE!!!

now its clear that someone gave strict instructions to the marchers of the US army to keep it safe and to take small steps..

and this is probably in line with work safe rules and maybe a department stepped in and instructed the instructors of the marcher to KEEP IT SAFE PEOPLE...

this marching parade went off without the hitch and it appears one suffered any injuries or worse.. god forbid sore feet..

now i must say howevere they did not look like they had there hearts in it... and next time really they need to put in some moro practise..

for the real bollywood production deal they really should take lessons from the Poms.. Megan knew she knew... marry into that family even it it kills them!!!

God save the EMPIRE!!! 

https://www.bing.com/videos/riverview/relatedvideo?&q=Trooping+the+Colour+1967&&mid=C956334560791533CCB4C956334560791533CCB4&mmscn=mtsc&aps=72&FORM=VRDGAR

[Waltzing]

The US army is in revolt...foxtrot delta tango..oh dear... mutiny in the ranks...

[BlackPeter]

The US army is in revolt...foxtrot delta tango..oh dear... mutiny in the ranks...

I guess one can't really expect that decent democratic soldiers who just want to defend their country and MAGA zombies  who submitted their conscience in order to trump common decency find a way to do anything in sync?

Clearly - their values are mutually exclusive.

This is how civil wars start ...

[Waltzing]

the biggest protests in US history.. soldiers not interested...

juat did not look like a nation that wants civil war

looks like they all fed up and the turn out for base ball could show the state of the nation....

bit like Kiwis and sport.... hang on we cant fight the local iwi now as India is play NZ in India this weekend..

the all blacks are defending the B CUP the weekend after..

the Kiwi black stick are in action mid week

.....

in the 80's if you didnt stop work for a week to attend a cricket 3 day test match depression rates would sky rocket..

you had to wear  brown as John wright... held his wicket all day ...

[Waltzing]

to March or not to March... its a mutiny... dont think the US military is invading anywhere at that pace..

Civil war... arrh.. are they going home afterwards to play with their game boys...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9VXPoczMFTI

Sorry the UK has the bit between their teeth...they now jst need to put some money where their feet are.

[BlackPeter]

to March or not to March... its a mutiny... dont think the US military is invading anywhere at that pace..

Civil war... arrh.. are they going home afterwards to play with their game boys...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9VXPoczMFTI

Sorry the UK has the bit between their teeth...they now jst need to put some money where their feet are.

To drill or not to drill?

Didn't the chump say drill, baby drill? But hey - that's what happens if a baby drills, even if its a particularly mean and mischievous baby.

But I guess the US army probably just heard him demanding unconditional surrender for Iran. It doesn't need a rocket scientist to figure out who would need to occupy Iran after a surrender? The handful of Israelis won't cut it ...

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jun/17/middle-east-conflict-reaches-crucial-moment-as-trump-demands-real-end-to-iran-nuclear-programme

The undisciplined crowds in US uniforms probalby just got their marching orders to Iran ...

[Basil]

I reckon bunker buster bombs dropped by B2 bombers is the next step but prior to that the US will want to move more assets into the region and deploy extra missile defense systems around US bases.  After the B2 bombers do their thing I think Iran will start using what remaining missiles they have to attack US bases in the region to make a statement.  After that, the US will reign down hell on Iran in tandem with Israel.
What a mess.

[Waltzing]

right... pardon some deal.. surrender... your capital... your churchie places... those funny building with pointy bits on top....

funny the way Iran is kaput... but Kiev has to put up with being bombed...

there is no way the USA can tame a population of 80 million people...

Iraq? the green Zone...

does one mess spread? 

Iran capital still has its lights on... cant be hard to find places if your lost.. just follow the lights...

25 Tankers have moved out of US air space...that means US air force is getting ready...

[BlackPeter]

I reckon bunker buster bombs dropped by B2 bombers is the next step but prior to that the US will want to move more assets into the region and deploy extra missile defense systems around US bases.  After the B2 bombers do their thing I think Iran will start using what remaining missiles they have to attack US bases in the region to make a statement.  After that, the US will reign down hell on Iran in tandem with Israel.
What a mess.

Hope it only turns into Irak (which was dumb and useless enough) Mach 2 instead of Afghanistan or a repetition of Vietnam. So sad to see a demented POTUS surrounded by yes-men who never had the mental capacity to understand the lessons of the past. No good scenario in view if the US joins.

Best case scenario of this adventure would be in my view to leave Iran like Somalia or Lybia as a kaputt state, just another reliable source of crooks, pirates and terrorists for the neighboring regions. What benefits the neighbors or the world will have from this scenario, one wonders?

The Americans have neither the balls nor the brains to occupy any country and turn it into a stable and democratic state. Last time they managed to do this was after WW2 - all know how lost since then. Korea, Vietnam, Afghanistan, Irak ... they certainly didn't lack trying.

Still worse - the US didn't even choose this scenario, but they allowed one of their crooked vasalls (Nethanyahu - who needs to fight wars to stay in power) to pull them into it. How deep uncle Sam is sinking ....

But hey - here is the bright side - Chump needs a war to win the midterms, doesn't he? So, its not for the benefit of the world or to create peace, its to keep chump in power.

But hey - there still is hope - or is there?

[Waltzing]

Chump is racing to join in before the IDF takes all the credit..

IDF has control over skies in 4 days... Russia hasnt after 3 years...

political prisoners are somehow being let out of jails...

someone is opening the gates....

80 million people and the younger people dont like government...

Is it Syria ?  its a wild tiger on the loose..

[BlackPeter]

Chump is racing to join in before the IDF takes all the credit..

Good point.

IDF has control over skies in 4 days... Russia hasnt after 3 years...

true as well. While I don't see Netahyahu with higher moral values than Putler, he certainly has a better airforce and much better gear.

political prisoners are somehow being let out of jails...

someone is opening the gates....

80 million people and the younger people dont like government...

Is it Syria ?  its a wild tiger on the loose..

Right. Agree - interesting mix to create a revolution.

It's just - the only revolution I remember which ended well for the people was Maidan in Ukraine ... and look how this starts turning these days ...

[Waltzing]

french REV... American Rev... Russian and china a flops.....

English? a series of action resulting in perfection... well almost ...

Bring back the EMPIRE!!!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2BSEarPVyNA

got the book...https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/German_revolutions_of_1848%E2%80%931849

Chump needs a win and what do dictators do?  go to war...

it still wont help in as they have no plan after they bomb...

will the Iran army fight...lots  of  army personal... invade a country? they just need to hold tight..boots on the ground...

Chump talking like a DON...

Wes Clarke has a plan... but will the US understand it...

[Waltzing]

the world at war...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XrMjZyEQ43U

is this both the past and future converging...

[BlackPeter]

french REV... American Rev... Russian and china a flops.....

Well ... French Revolution ended with a period of short lived terror regimes moving into Napoleons dictatorship and the long sequence of Napooleons wars, killing millions of people. It took France more than 100 years to recover from this. Did the people really benefit? They exchanged one set of tyrants with another set of tyrants.

American revolution ... OK - they swapped the suppression through the British with the suppression through the alt right. Not sure, I would prefer to live these days in the American Banana Republic vs. under British rule ... but yes, I see what you mean. Not sure, it technically was a revolution anyway, it didn't revolve the British regime, it just decolonised parts of the Eastern Island (East - seen from our side).

Most revolutions are like turning boulders on a field ... some other ugly side of the rock looks toward the sky, but it doesn't really make a difference for the soil beneath which side of the rock faces the sun.

But anyway - this is Iran and the strongman Nethanyahu and his American buddy might bomb the sh*t out of them. No plan whatsoever for what is happening afterwards. Not very promising for the good people living in Iran, isn't it?