Geopolitical Risk

[Waltzing]

Ruassian Confusion in the Command and Control in Crimea  as units refuse to advance not knowing where the mine field are as the mine fields are classified...

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/11/30/putin-pays-tribute-to-farsighted-statesman-henry-kissinger/

[BlackPeter]

Apparently the UGLY BEARS have already shot the long range gluide bombs down launched by Ukraine...

only they dont have any yet and they wont arrive until 2024...

https://kyivindependent.com/reuters-delivery-of-new-us-long-range-weapon-systems-for-ukraine-pushed-to-2024/

Well,

I guess this coming from the same people who promised to guarantee the territorial integrity of Ukraine, who said that they don't intend to attack the Ukraine, who threaten anybody with up to 15 years prison who says the truth about their war in the Ukraine, and who claim that they don't commit war crimes while constantly and deliberately attacking hospitals, birthing units, cultural places, kindergartens and other non military places.

I am wondering why anybody still bothers to report what they are claiming ...

[Davexl]

Kissinger - the good, the bad and the downright ugly...

Celebrated and reviled: The complicated legacy of Henry Kissinger

https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/henry-kissinger-is-dead-at-100-shaped-the-united-states-cold-war-history/HFPSWRFO7BASZJAY5AYVCURLT4/

https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/henry-kissinger-death-complicated-legacy-draws-admiration-and-scorn-from-across-the-globe/H42CKVDV75CAXAQS65ADKLX5MU/

[Waltzing]

Kissinger ...

nothing in DS ...

https://www.spiegel.de/international/

[Waltzing]

Just what is germany going to do is the question everyone wants to know in 2024...

https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20231116-germany-hikes-ukraine-military-support-but-is-its-defence-spending-tilt-tenable

[Ferg]

Meanwhile Ukrainian operatives are striking at key infrastructure deep inside Russia.

Apparently the trans-Siberian railway line is a major route for munitions etc delivered ex China.  A key tunnel was taken out on that line.  Then when trains used the only alternative railway line, a bridge on that line was also taken out.  If you can cripple the logistics, you cripple the armed forces.

Sources:
https://meduza.io/en/feature/2023/12/01/they-fell-into-the-trap
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/11/30/europe/russia-train-fire-ukraine-intl/index.html
https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-siberia-railway-explosion-second-ukraine/32710142.html

[Waltzing]

Yup mean while... some idiot has told the new Tankers to take their Lp2 A6 and rock over the open fields near ADIKA while Ugle bear drone oeprators fly right into the after compartments hitting the armour blow off containers causing fires that halt the normal operations of the tanks....

they have taken out 7 LP2 in ADICKA...or disabled them till they are refiited...

who the heck is stupid enough to roll them out in the open without some units to cover them and shoot down the drones?

The UKE;s are loosing the plot in some areas... its the pressure ...

what they need is these ....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0OKt5wRb-xI
 
and lots of them...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ybPrBAx3yoQ

The LP2's in UKE are not equiped with top attack protection systems and its proving very costly in the number of tanks disabled for periods of time until the machines can be returned back to the manufacture for extensive rebuilds....

IDIOTS.... both the western diplomats and the UKE field commanders...

Lucky the Bradley race over to big up the crews..... the Ulge bears dont like the Bradleys at all nor the CV90 currently supporting UKE field operations.

[Waltzing]

Great listen to a young Ukraine political Activist ... Radio Times.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=outX-wTnYhI

and the Lastest from DW....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uf18eEb-QYE

Hes all IN .....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i8nBrcRwXQ0

are we heading to a  much bigger european war?

Russia has upped its military budget and there is no end in sight for this war...

What was tat europe was hoping that russians would come to there senses and get rid of PUTIN... they cant as they are the Russian world and the problem.

What is europe to do and its looking just like "PEACE in our TIME" moment coming soon....

There are small up ticks in incidents across the world making this the HOTEST time in world geo risk since the war in Korea?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aBJ2TpRa83k
 

[Waltzing]

Probably not the second best army in the world but a brave one .....

and now there is pre election manoeuvre...  french word.....

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/12/03/zelensky-is-losing-popularity-because-of-his-mistakes-says/

[Waltzing]

YUP those Lp2's rolling around  ADICKUP with no cover is really a military losing its way ... or some new commanders who know nothing about what they are doing....

YUP takes years of study and practise .... not a few months...

[kiwi2007]

The Ukrainian army lost one of its rare, and precious, Leopard 2A6 tanks outside Avdiivka in eastern Ukraine ..............

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2023/11/02/ukraine-sent-its-surviving-leopard-2a6-tanks-to-help-save-avdiivka-and-quickly-lost-one-of-them/?sh=fe0912727549

The army's 47th Mechanized Brigade is the sole user of Ukraine's Leopard 2A6s. That a Leopard 2A6 has showed up around Avdiivka, just northwest of Donetsk in eastern Ukraine's Donbas region, means all or much of the 47th Mechanized Brigade is there, too.

Todays Update
Ukraine Update: Why a lack of armored vehicles is stalling Russia's infantry assault

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/12/3/2209226/-Ukraine-Update-Why-a-lack-of-armored-vehicles-is-stalling-Russia-s-infantry-assault

...Note how losses vary, presumably depending on the intensity of Russian assaults, but Russia is losing 15-25 armored vehicles on most days, while spikes of losses occur every 5-10 days Where Russia loses 40-70+ vehicles in a single day....

[Onemootpoint]

Roll out the welcome mat; we will not resist....

Does NZ really need its defence force, asks leading academic

https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/richard-jackson-does-nz-really-need-its-defence-force/CE7GHBBRBJBLXBMZNTVA6PZK3E/

[Waltzing]

Can the UKE barrels  possible fiire fire 17 million shells.....

"I need £300bn and 17m shells to defeat Russia, Zaluzhny told Austin
General Valery Zaluzhny told American defence secretary Lloyd Austin that Ukraine needs £300bn and 17million shells to completely defeat Russia, the Ukrainska Pravda newspaper has reported.

"The calculations of the general staff show that to fulfil the task of the president to liberate the entire territory of Ukraine requires forces and means for $350-400bn (£277-316bn)," a source said Mr Austin was told when he visited Kyiv in November.

"Austin was told about the need for 17million [artillery] shells," they added.

"He, to put it mildly, was stunned, because you wouldn't be able to collect so many shells all over the world.""

right .... back to commercial property

[Waltzing]

"Does NZ really need its defence force, asks leading academic"

YUP ... for civil defence and for civil unrest...

also ask the AUSSI KANGA's and they will tell you that NZ trained artillery units were one of the highest performing units in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Long_Tan...

[Waltzing]

Also its time to get a proper air force probably flying the gripen... China invades the south pacific...and its already doing it...

If you dont patrol your seas the Chinese will patrol it for you... also get some coastal german subs..