Geopolitical Risk

[Waltzing]

DAV: what about the growing threat of Virus's escaping since the complete melt down (or potential soon to be) of the US monitoring in africa and world wide...

[Davexl]

DAV: what about the growing threat of Virus's escaping since the complete melt down (or potential soon to be) of the US monitoring in africa and world wide...

Yes the US Govt has gone completely nuts, yet the VIX gauge shows lack of significant fear?
Maybe the bond markets will soon say "enough is enough" then everything falls over...
Incredible times...

Keep an eye on the VIX - (Fear gauge)

[Waltzing]

well the VIX wont spike if market keeps going up...

but if EB gets out of africa yes the VIX could suddenly rise fast...

i was up the night Joe K. said in 2007... could there be a problem with the Home loan market...

and back then no one... NO ONE said anything negative on live CNBC....

well the moment JOE K said that i knew trouble was coming but was not aware of the numbers ...

only the big traders knew the numbers..

Margin Call...

[Waltzing]

well its five years till russia invades the baltics...

putin just got everything he wants...

Z does not sign away the family metals...

and europe will have to quickly arm up...

so much for retiring on the baltic ...

might have to settle for the BOP... well no NZSO but at least its got a beach..

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oqdtHl9koIQ

can NZ keep going along like it has or is it time to close down lots of government departments, automate the tax department...

and set up some kind of defense force... what there is one already?

well thats ok then... 

its peace in our TIME!!! pass the ...

Europe is now for all intensive purposes in 1934-35....

its counting down unless some how ukraine can hang on and europe can rearm ukraine with the supplies that will hopefully still flow from the US... europe has to buy them.

Ukraine would be mad to sign anything...

oh yes G K Cornflakes will make an appearance .... somewhere soon... out from behind a curtain he got lost in..stage exit left..

Russian has started their baltic operations .... with China's help.. its as good as a declaration by false flag operations..

and that nuclear threat again ...

https://kyivindependent.com/nuclear-blackmail-russia-strikes-chornobyl-as-munich-security-conference-kicks-off/

would they really try to blow the protective covers off CHOBY?

[Waltzing]

Is what we are seeing from american administrations the first steps in a modern KKK take over of washington?

Is this the first step towards a new era of white rule in the USA?

How else does it explain that the VJ (vice jerk) attends the AFD meeting?

Is the USA now in the hands of fascist?

Was this all more about Trump establishing himself as a dictator alongside IX and Putin?

Is the new leader of the KKK elon and Trump and others?

Not the KKK of old but a new grouping that is taking shape as Elon stands in the oval office one of the new leaders of white supremacy in the US...

https://edition.cnn.com/2025/02/15/europe/zelensky-trump-putin-ukraine-russia-peace-talks-intl/index.html

The world just started spinning on a NEW AXIS of evil and the US is one of its prime actors...

Trump wants to invite Russia back into the G7....

It turns out Trump is one with Putin after all...

[BlackPeter]

well its five years till russia invades the baltics...

putin just got everything he wants...

...


Europe is now for all intensive purposes in 1934-35....

...

Yep, its looking bleak, isn't it?

Interesting how this planned Trump - Putin Pact where Trump and Putin agree on splitting Ukraine and Trump gives Putin everything he always asked for resembles the Molotov–Ribbentrop Pact where Stalin and Hitler agreed on their respective imperial boundaries and agreed on splitting Poland.

Tough negotiator, our Donald, isn't he? - but hey, he is so dependent on Putin's love and praise, we need to understand that, even Donald is only human and needs a little bit of praise from the people he loves.

The only thing is - it didn't took long after that agreement before WW2 started in earnest. Actually - it was just weeks, i.e. the comparison of today with the mid 1930'ies might be a bit lagging. Better call it late 1930'ies

The pact between Stalin and Hitler was signed 23 August 1939 ... and WW II started in earnest 1. September 1939. But hey, Hitler was then probably a bit more organized than Putin is now - i.e. time will tell.

Interesting times ... and yes, BoP might be over the next decade a safer place than the Balticum.

[Waltzing]

Trump is simply doing all this to create chaos ...

and next week month year he will do the opposite...

as apparently the Idiot HS  (head sxxt) for the US defense administration then went on to contradict everything he said the day before under new questioning at Munich...

listen to the daily podcast and it becomes clear no one on the US team has a clue what is what and when...

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/03/02/russia-ukraine-war-listen-daily-podcast/

Trump hasnt got a plan and is Miller and elon running everything behind the scenes...

you could not write this is hollywood....

do we need to see reruns of the movies made by Charlie C...

[BlackPeter]

Trump is simply doing all this to create chaos ...

and next week month year he will do the opposite...

as apparently the Idiot HS  (head sxxt) for the US defense administration then went on to contradict everything he said the day before under new questioning at Munich...

listen to the daily podcast and it becomes clear no one on the US team has a clue what is what and when...

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/03/02/russia-ukraine-war-listen-daily-podcast/

Trump hasnt got a plan and is Miller and elon running everything behind the scenes...

you could not write this is hollywood....

do we need to see reruns of the movies made by Charlie C...

Yep, great speech, isn't it?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J7GY1Xg6X20

Unfortunately they through Charlie C after that movie out of the US ...

What a joke ...

[Waltzing]

they did it after he started throwing event parties for the communist party members in the US...

but hey they even tried to do that to OPPIE H...

but he knew to much to let him out of the country....

i bet they tailed OH everyday and night ....

and bugged his phones...

[Waltzing]

Is there going to be a next fair election in the US....

Jake Bro thinks they will try to rig it and no there wont be...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3wDrCIVVFM4

remember the french revolution?

well what will elon do to get the people to removed the judges?

well people will have to guard the state capitals...

and will a new G Washington emerge... and could it be in the form of the half time black wrapper at the super bowel...

as J Bro says americans love to rebel...

[Waltzing]

well  BP since russia has never made it all way to the danish coast i think landskrona will be safe enough and it only 40 minutes or less to the airport at copenhaven... it think it will be safe to return...

id rather back the scandi plus poland to whip the russians anyway ...

plus there would be russians fighting on the scandi side ....

i think the poles hate the russians still...

Trump a Dump is a stream of ... policy made up as he goes to the loo...

Radio Times also states the US delegation has one story one day and another the next....

The saudi meeting is Japo Kabuki...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kabuki

[BlackPeter]

well  BP since russia has never made it all way to the danish coast i think landskrona will be safe enough and it only 40 minutes or less to the airport at copenhaven... it think it will be safe to return...

id rather back the scandi plus poland to whip the russians anyway ...

plus there would be russians fighting on the scandi side ....

i think the poles hate the russians still...

Trump a Dump is a stream of ... policy made up as he goes to the loo...

Radio Times also states the US delegation has one story one day and another the next....

The saudi meeting is Japo Kabuki...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kabuki

Hmm - not that far from Kalinigrad, isn't it?

But anyway - just not sure I'd consider anywhere in Europe these days a safe place, well, not safer than it used to be in the 1930íes. At the end it didn't matter to the people, whether the specific aggressor came from the right or from the left or whether they've just been the meat in the sandwich.

Sounds like everything is under control, is it?

[Waltzing]

they will never make it across the lake ...

there ships will sink or explode when they start the motors...

or they will sail they wrong way ....

russia will forget to pay them anything and they will defect to poland once they are half way across...

they will jump ship....

the though of real food in holland will break there moral once radio free europe starts broadcasting like its 1983...

great year to be in europe my first...

99 luftballoons was playing that summer it think or the next...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fpu5a0Bl8eY

yeah what a summer in old amsterdam it was too... the east germans training after racing while we drank a beer with the aussie in the bar at the end of the bosbaan...

[Waltzing]

well some say the PLA isnt ready for anything except reciting chairman moa's litte red book...

does china youth who is lying down want to fight wars when it was all looking bright and they wanted to be in the movies ?

rich asians !!!

forget that XI came and pooped the party ... the wild great time party...

Dont think they want to go back to the revolution do they...

https://edition.cnn.com/2025/02/16/china/china-military-readiness-rand-report-intl-hnk-ml/index.html

[Waltzing]

In this new world that looks like the early 1900's where does this leave the western allies....

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2025/02/16/keir-starmer-ready-to-put-british-troops-in-ukraine/

Battle lines..

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/battle-lines/