Bear Market Shopping List

Started by Fiordland Moose, Jun 27, 2022, 09:53 AM

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Fiordland Moose

Curious what others have on their watch list should suitable discounts arise

Mine (in no order): Heartland, Contact, Genesis, HLG (would be my first time as a holder), Skellerup, a sprinkle of RV's, AFT Pharmaceuticals, Vulcan Steel, FPH (long admired, never owned, would like to add at some point).  Some other goodies (IE TRA etc) out there but if not on the list I'm already overweight.

Looking a bit more seriously at the USX re SFF and PAZ

Got my list of catalysts and triggers for timing each further investment. Some of those catalysts I can see taking  a year to occur.

See how well I hold to that.  I got itchy fingers and bought a small stake of Skellerup at $4.41 the other week (probably about 1/3 to 1/4 what I want to eventually add).  Will probably wind up DCA my way into a few premature to my plan - as plan is based around some guesses about what will happen and who knows when bear market will actually turn.

Got my list of aussie ones too.

Raven

For me its ARG,CEN,EBO,FPH,GNE,HGH,KPG,MCY,MFT,SPK for long term holding.
Maybe SUM, PFI.

Shareguy

I have been taking advantage of market weakness and buying new positions in Google, PayPal, Amazon and have added to my position in Apple. In New Zealand added more Ryman and Sum and Gne. Gne I thought was a great price and now have a large position.

Will also add to Mainfreight position around the $65 mark if possible and would love to get some more Ebos.

Cod

Just adding small amounts to existing holdings at this stage MHJ STU SKT am in a wait and see holding pattern using a weight of the evidence approach.

Peitro

Adding to Mainfreight, Infratil and Meridian.

Strong supply chain tail winds for Mainfreight will continue, even in the face of the current storm. Heavily oversold IMO

Norwest

EVN on the ASX was slammed yesterday, it was the worst performer in the ASX200 on a relatively tame business update, I added a ton more to my holding at close yesterday and doubled down again at open today.


BlackPeter

#7
Quote from: Norwest on Jun 28, 2022, 06:34 PMEVN on the ASX was slammed yesterday, it was the worst performer in the ASX200 on a relatively tame business update, I added a ton more to my holding at close yesterday and doubled down again at open today.

Ever wondered why SP is dropping?

I don't know the company, but sometimes markets are right and sometimes they are wrong.

Looking at it from a TA perspective - spectacular downtrend. Might want to have a chat with KW about buying in downtrends.

On the other hand - it does look a bit oversold. However - trying to make money from dead cat bounces requires balls of steel ... and they just make the walking so inconvenient.

Arbroath

I like ARG, ARV, STU and/or VSL, FPH a bit lower if that eventuates, maybe $16-18.

Also like AIR a lot around here. I sold out immediately after the Covid thing at around $1.25-1.30 and. I never understood the optimism in 2020-2021 but now at 55c think it's cheap on a 3-4 year view should be $1 and paying dividends again in FY26.


Shareguy

#10
Have sold a couple of rental properties with settlement coming up soon. Looking at investing back into the NZX as I believe that the current environment bodes well.

The only NZ stock I currently have is Ryman as I sold down most of my shares earlier on this year. Wanting long term holds with a mixture of safety/growth stocks and a percentage in possible M&A plays and turnarounds. 

I'm of the belief that with the state of the economy, further cuts to the OCR are coming. With that in mind the New Zealand share market will continue its upward trend as low deposit rates will force people into the sharemarket.  With some of our stocks already beaten down coupled with an attractive exchange rate my conviction of M and A is high.

So what to buy and why?

Appreciate your thoughts


Waltzing

DID They miss out on TRA did they...

well dont worry since NZ has already crashed the bottom was about may... as exports have halted sinking ship..

its a good list of companies though..

Dolcile

Thanks for resurrecting this thread. 

I picked up some more TRA during the week.  They've grown earnings through a very difficult period and now hopefully the lower interest rate environment will provide a swift tailwind.  Based on fy26 forecast dps of 32.5, TRA trades at a 6.5% gross yield.   I'm very happy to buy stock at this price, collect the dividends and let the growth play out.   Much better than cash ITB. 

I'm also looking for other opportunities but meanwhile I've been very pleased with my Global Share index funds, the PIE funds Australian Dividend Fund and the Salt Long Short Fund. 


Turkey

#13
That Craigs list is pretty close to KFL holdings...exceptions from what I can see are CHI, RYM ..Kfl exited and bought more SUM, SKT, SKO , TWR

Buy KFL collect the 9% quarterly pie divies, drp discount and go fishing or play golf...lol

Scooter

Sold out of vista for now. U.S has worried  me and they are heading into negative gdp very soon. Might come quick and last
Holding large on tower
Have taken a big postion in seeka at $3.40 share average buy in. They have so much more room to keep going I'm surprised no one talks about it.