STU - Steel & Tube Holdings

Started by Shareguy, Jun 24, 2022, 03:13 PM

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Shareguy

#615
What a result compared to Vulcans. Why is the CEO still there. Chair going. And selling off what was once one of the best divisions. Have turned into a generalist supplier and still constantly runs out of top sellers.

https://www.nzx.com/announcements/478526

Crackity

Mark says the business is well positioned....

Vulcan must love having such a useless competitor in NZ

Otago K

I loved the last paragraph the most where they slipped in what the non-normalised EBIT and EBITDA ( for what they are worth ) were disclosed.

entrep

Shocked there is no cap raise announced tbh.
AI-powered NZX announcement analysis → annolyse.ai

LoungeLizard

Steel and Tube are the canary in the coal-mine. Their decline reflects the decline of NZ's building industry generally and a prolonged lack of Government investment in infrastructure. There is no "recovery" on the horizon for STU as far as I can tell, unless we get a Government that is willing to spend to promote recovery.

winner (n)

Quote from: LoungeLizard on Aug 26, 2026, 09:52 AMSteel and Tube are the canary in the coal-mine. Their decline reflects the decline of NZ's building industry generally and a prolonged lack of Government investment in infrastructure. There is no "recovery" on the horizon for STU as far as I can tell, unless we get a Government that is willing to spend to promote recovery.


Industry trends are having an impact but STU isn't even keeping up with these trends ... like sales decline more than industry decline etc

Recent acquisitions show 0verall revenues are increasing but underlying business a disaster

And as shareguy implies selling off a few business units really only shows how stuffed they are

BlackPeter

Mmh - so they shrinking themselves into shape. Good for people who had too much weight, but was this really true for STU?

Actually - revenue is a bit higher than analysts expected (which may or may not be good), but earnings loss is significant higher. Analysts expected 12 cents loss per share, but they turned that into 33.3 cents loss per share, and sure - revaluing their bookvlues was part of that.

Hey, 33.3 cents loss per share, this is amazing, just wondering why you need to read the fianncials to find that out. They should put that as top liner on their annual statements: "Highest loss ever" maybe coupled with one of these amazing staff photos with staff digging a really deep hole?!

Interesting to read their future statement.

So - what does

"Highly leveraged for domestic market recovery, timing and pace remains uncertain"

really mean?

Does this mean they have lots of debts and not sure, whether the market recovery or the debt collectors might come first?

But hey, not sure about the election uncertainty they talk about. I guess - sure, Labour had 6 years to turn things bad - and National made it in just 3 years still worse. So? Where is the uncertainty? We know exactly whats going to happen in the next term even if we don't know whether it is Labour or National doing it - don't we?

But hey, they said somewhere that one can see the early start of an improvment - so, just lets hope for somebody else to take over the country and lets be positive ...


LoungeLizard

Quote from: winner (n) on Aug 26, 2026, 11:03 AMIndustry trends are having an impact but STU isn't even keeping up with these trends ... like sales decline more than industry decline etc

Recent acquisitions show 0verall revenues are increasing but underlying business a disaster

And as shareguy implies selling off a few business units really only shows how stuffed they are

The building and manufacturing industries are in decline - lot's of layoffs and bankruptcies.

It's margins and profits that are important - not total revenue. It's just very hard for an outfit like STU to cover its increasing cost base, hence the sell-off.

I fear that it is in terminal decline and may go the way of Metro Performance Glass.

BlackPeter

Quote from: LoungeLizard on Aug 26, 2026, 01:27 PMThe building and manufacturing industries are in decline - lot's of layoffs and bankruptcies.

It's margins and profits that are important - not total revenue. It's just very hard for an outfit like STU to cover its increasing cost base, hence the sell-off.

I fear that it is in terminal decline and may go the way of Metro Performance Glass.

Not positive, but you well might be right.

The "Going Concern" part of the report is quite long and referring to a lot of things nobody knows and assumptions which may or may not come true. Auditors referring to that as well: "Material uncertainty related to going concern".

I guess the SP is sort of a hint - looks less like an investment these days and more like speculation.

Shareguy

#624
Steel & Tube posts $61m loss as auditor flags going-concern uncertainty. Not good........

https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/business/1126831/steel-and-tube-posts-61m-loss-as-auditor-flags-going-concern-uncertainty.

Page 77 onwards of Annual report

We draw attention to the Going Concern disclosure on pages 38 and 39 of the Group consolidated financial
statements. The Going Concern disclosure explains that compliance with banking covenants and maintaining
sufficient liquidity are highly sensitive to underlying assumptions relating to volumes and margin in the forecast
and its achievement and there is a material uncertainty concerning the Group's ability to achieve its financial
forecasts and to achieve various initiatives underway. There is also material uncertainty relating to the Group's
ability to maintain its banking relationships and to pursue further mitigants which include alternative sources of
borrowing, asset sales or further working capital management, if financial performance is below expectations.
© 2026 KPMG, a New Zealand Partnership and a member firm of the KPMG global organisation of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Limited,
a private English company limited by guarantee. All rights reserved.
Document classification: KPMG Public
Steel & Tube Annual Report 2026
77
These events or conditions along with other matters set forth in the Going Concern disclosure, indicate that a
material uncertainty exists that may cast significant doubt on the Group's ability to continue as a going concern.
Our opinion is not modified in respect of this matter.
In concluding there is a material uncertainty related to going concern we evaluated the extent of uncertainty
regarding events or conditions casting significant doubt in the Group's assessment of going concern. This
included:
• Assessing the reasonableness of the FY27 forecast compared to historical performance and results since
year end, considering possible downside scenarios and their impact upon covenant compliance and
liquidity;
• Assessing significant initiatives, cost saving measures and proposed mitigants for feasibility, quantum and
timing. We used our knowledge of the client, its industry and the current status of those initiatives to assess
the level of uncertainty;
• Reading banking facility agreements, amendments and correspondence with existing and potential
financiers to understand the financing options available to the Group to assess the level of uncertainty, and
assess whether the requirements, including covenants, and repayment terms of the existing facility, were
appropriately considered in the financial forecasts;
• Evaluating the Group's going concern disclosures in the financial report by comparing them to our
understanding of the matter, the events or conditions incorporated into the financial forecasts, the Group's
plans to address those events or conditions, and accounting standard requirements. We specifically
focused on the principal matters giving rise to the material uncertainty.

Craigs say

While STU's headline revenue (+14%) and reduced EBIT losses suggest a steady improvement in FY26, Carling notes that the figures are muddied by a 12-month contribution from Perry's (vs. 2-months in the pcp). Stripping Perry's out Carling estimates that revenue for the core business was up only c.7% YoY, with EBIT broadly flat at -$22m.

In my opinion they need a capital raise AND A NEW CEO...Can see why the chair and other directors are off..

Basil

Crickey it looks grim.   Chart going all the way back to start 2022 at $1.70 just shows a steady ongoing decline. Test of the previous low of 32.5 cents coming up ?

You'd have to be "extremely brave" to punt on this lame duck.

Crackity

June 2026 Shareholder communication

Our Greatest Asset: People Who Make the Difference

What is consistent across everything is the quality of our people and their commitment to delivering for our customers. Customer satisfaction scores remain at high levels and we continue to hold our market share in the face of conditions that are testing many in our industry.

I reckon firing Mark would be worth at least 5cps

Clearasmud

Quote from: Basil on Aug 26, 2026, 05:50 PMCrickey it looks grim.   Chart going all the way back to start 2022 at $1.70 just shows a steady ongoing decline. Test of the previous low of 32.5 cents coming up ?

You'd have to be "extremely brave" to punt on this lame duck.
Beagles aren't known for bravery.

Stockgathering

Quote from: Crackity on Aug 26, 2026, 06:41 PMJune 2026 Shareholder communication

Our Greatest Asset: People Who Make the Difference

What is consistent across everything is the quality of our people and their commitment to delivering for our customers. Customer satisfaction scores remain at high levels and we continue to hold our market share in the face of conditions that are testing many in our industry.

I reckon firing Mark would be worth at least 5cps

I agree.
Mark has been CEO for about 9 years. Capital Raised in his time, more than $80 million for STU.
And by my calculation the total NPAT is a total loss of $101 million over the last 9 years. So that is 101 divided by nine is more that $11 million average loss per year.
Market cap today is $66 million and likely going down further.
Time has come that the CEO and the Chair must admit they are not suitable to lead this company any longer.
 

Crackity

Quote from: Stockgathering on Aug 26, 2026, 08:49 PMI agree.
Mark has been CEO for about 9 years. Capital Raised in his time, more than $80 million for STU.
And by my calculation the total NPAT is a total loss of $101 million over the last 9 years. So that is 101 divided by nine is more that $11 million average loss per year.
Market cap today is $66 million and likely going down further.
Time has come that the CEO and the Chair must admit they are not suitable to lead this company any longer.
 


Snippets from the BusinessDesk article about this basket case

Net debt at June 30 was up 33% to $48m from $36.3m. About $30m was taken on with the acquisition of Perry Metals. Asked what net debt was today, chief financial officer Richard Smyth said its month-end in July was "not too dissimilar" to the $48m already disclosed, and August would also be similar. Forsyth Barr had suggested a capital raise must be imminent and was tipping net debt to be at $57m by June 30.

And this from the brilliant CEO -

Malpass said the outlook was "morose" and it was forecasting that economic conditions may not improve


Sounds ominous -