Momentum Investing Opportunities.

Started by KW, Jan 17, 2023, 07:23 PM

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KW

Only have 2 stocks below their 50 day MA.  But with two 3% down days in a row, there might soon be a lot more!  This is fugly stuff out there.  Stay safe peeps.   :o
Don't drink and buy shares in a downtrend, you bloody idiot.

Left Field

#76
Quote from: KW on Aug 04, 2024, 09:00 PMFunnily enough, when you ask the question, the Internet delivers :-)

Stan Weinstein (absolute legend) just popped up on the TraderLion Conference discussing EXACTLY this!  So here you go.  A brilliant analysis of the current state of the market, and what to do when stocks begin to roll over. 

https://youtu.be/p6DFeXHqtsc?si=osf0odNNXgwVswLP

Come Monday, I am going to have a long hard look at my portfolio and set some stops while sitting in the airport lounge, and then I'm taking a vacation as Stan recommends  ;D 8)


Safe travels KW.

I enjoyed watching Stan's comments, thank you.

Extremely relevant if you play the USA markets. I also read that Buffet has sold 50% of his Apple stock, (his remaining AAPL now likely free-hold.) These are key indicators that it is no time to be complacent, (particularly in USA stocks.)

That said, my modest portfolio is 100% NZX (call me crazy) and the NZX signals are somewhat different. Here's an interesting take on NZX stocks at the moment; https://www.goodreturns.co.nz/article/976523446/are-nz-equities-a-buy.html

So yes the USA may sneeze and the NZX may catch a cold..... however I'm playing it stock by stock and watching the NZX and 50 day MA very closely! My new mantra..... never be complacent.

"The difficulty lies not in new ideas... but in escaping from old ideas." (J M Keynes.)

Mr Cashflow

Quote from: KW on Aug 04, 2024, 09:00 PMFunnily enough, when you ask the question, the Internet delivers :-)

Stan Weinstein (absolute legend) just popped up on the TraderLion Conference discussing EXACTLY this!  So here you go.  A brilliant analysis of the current state of the market, and what to do when stocks begin to roll over. 

https://youtu.be/p6DFeXHqtsc?si=osf0odNNXgwVswLP

Come Monday, I am going to have a long hard look at my portfolio and set some stops while sitting in the airport lounge, and then I'm taking a vacation as Stan recommends  ;D 8)

Have a safe journey KW.

KW

Stanley Druckenmiller (the absolute legend, if you've never heard of him go google and watch some interviews) recently commented that this is the most volatile market he has ever experienced in his 40+ years of investing.  And if you look at the charts, that is very clear.  The upwards moves are large and long, while the corrections are hard and fast. 

2025 is unlikely to be any different.  It will require a delicate balance of sticking the uptrend during a correction, while selling out quickly if the trend changes, and learning to tell the difference.  A correction that turns into a downtrend will be hard and fast, and will do a lot of damage. 


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Don't drink and buy shares in a downtrend, you bloody idiot.