KPG - Kiwi Property Group

Started by Onemootpoint, Aug 30, 2022, 10:26 AM

Previous topic - Next topic

0 Members and 2 Guests are viewing this topic.


winner (n)

Lots of chat at other place about the relationship between REITs share prices and 10 Year Govt rates.

Yes KPG share price has a very strong correlation with the 10 Year rate

10 Year currently 4.36% ......means 'theoretical price' for KPG is $1.06

As we all no doubt agree KPG under priced at moment ...on this basis anyway

Basil

Definitely rated BBB.  Basil been buying.

Dolcile

Quote from: winner (n) on Jun 30, 2026, 03:03 PMLots of chat at other place about the relationship between REITs share prices and 10 Year Govt rates.

Yes KPG share price has a very strong correlation with the 10 Year rate

10 Year currently 4.36% ......means 'theoretical price' for KPG is $1.06

As we all no doubt agree KPG under priced at moment ...on this basis anyway

Winner I'm curious, how do you infer a price of $1.06 from the 10 year rate?

winner (n)

Quote from: Basil on Jun 30, 2026, 03:34 PMDefinitely rated BBB.  Basil been buying.

Bought a few this afternoon ....got 19 tranasction notifications lol

winner (n)

Quote from: Dolcile on Jun 30, 2026, 03:41 PMWinner I'm curious, how do you infer a price of $1.06 from the 10 year rate?

The linear regression formula derived from a database of monthly closes since 2008 of KPG share price and 10 Year Govt rate ....cross checked for reasonableness with same methodology of yield v 10nyear

Basil

#441
Quote from: winner (n) on Jun 30, 2026, 03:49 PMThe linear regression formula derived from a database of monthly closes since 2008 of KPG share price and 10 Year Govt rate ....cross checked for reasonableness with same methodology of yield v 10nyear

Seems sound to me.  I like the 9%+ yield along with Directors ambitions to grow DPS by 3% a year.  Pretty safe investment in the low to mid 90's I reckon.  Risk and reward well and truly skewed to the upside in my opinion.