Tech Companies of the Future

Started by Waltzing, Feb 11, 2023, 04:37 PM

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HAWKDOG

Quote from: BlackPeter on Jan 19, 2026, 09:35 AMAnd hey, Geopolitics currently looks like the late 1930íes - doesn't it? Just saying.



This is why I live on a lifestyle block - have a year round garden, fruit trees (11 varieties of citrus), chickens and fill my freezer with venison.

If any of the scenarios you mention come to fruition I will have bigger problems than the S&P500 crashing.

Can't worry about that bigger stuff I have no control over.

https://www.macrotrends.net/1319/dow-jones-100-year-historical-chart
"The public loses interest just when opportunity returns."
— Stan Weinstein

HAWKDOG

The Tariff Playbook:
In 2025, our investment strategy nearly doubled the S&P 500's return, largely because we were early to capitalize on swings in asset prices during the trade war. Below, we outline the exact strategy we have utilized to do so:

A comprehensive step-by-step playbook to navigate Trump's trade war:

On Friday, President Trump posts a cryptic message signaling tariffs on a specific country or sector. Markets drift lower as uncertainty rises. This began on Friday when Trump threatened tariffs on Denmark
Later that same day, or shortly after (in this case on Saturday), President Trump announces a large new tariff, often 25%+

On Saturday and Sunday, President Trump repeatedly doubles down on the tariff threats to apply pressure while markets are closed, maximizing psychological impact
Over the weekend, the countries targeted by the new tariffs typically respond publicly or signal a willingness to negotiate

On Sunday evening at 6 PM ET, when futures reopen (in this case on Monday night), stock market futures drop in an initial emotional reaction to the tariff headlines
On Monday and Tuesday, President Trump continues applying pressure publicly, but investors begin to recognize that the tariffs are not yet live and are still scheduled to take effect weeks later, such as February 1st

By Wednesday of that same week, dip buyers step in and spark a relief rally, but this move often fades and leads to another push lower. This is typically where smart money begins buying
On the following weekend, roughly one week later, President Trump posts that discussions are underway and that he is working toward a solution with leaders of the countries targeted by the tariffs
On Sunday evening of that weekend at 6 PM ET, futures open sharply higher as optimism returns, but gains fade into the Monday cash market open

After the Monday open, senior administration officials such as Treasury Secretary Bessent, appear on live television to reassure investors and emphasize progress toward a deal
Over the next 2-4 weeks, various members of the Trump Administration continue to tease progress toward a trade agreement

A trade deal is announced and markets hit new record highs
Repeat from step #1

Of course, this is not a guaranteed roadmap, but in our experience, just about all flareups of the trade war since January 2025 have followed roughly the same path.
"The public loses interest just when opportunity returns."
— Stan Weinstein

BlackPeter

Quote from: HAWKDOG on Jan 20, 2026, 07:08 AMThe Tariff Playbook:
In 2025, our investment strategy nearly doubled the S&P 500's return, largely because we were early to capitalize on swings in asset prices during the trade war. Below, we outline the exact strategy we have utilized to do so:

A comprehensive step-by-step playbook to navigate Trump's trade war:

On Friday, President Trump posts a cryptic message signaling tariffs on a specific country or sector. Markets drift lower as uncertainty rises. This began on Friday when Trump threatened tariffs on Denmark
Later that same day, or shortly after (in this case on Saturday), President Trump announces a large new tariff, often 25%+

On Saturday and Sunday, President Trump repeatedly doubles down on the tariff threats to apply pressure while markets are closed, maximizing psychological impact
Over the weekend, the countries targeted by the new tariffs typically respond publicly or signal a willingness to negotiate

On Sunday evening at 6 PM ET, when futures reopen (in this case on Monday night), stock market futures drop in an initial emotional reaction to the tariff headlines
On Monday and Tuesday, President Trump continues applying pressure publicly, but investors begin to recognize that the tariffs are not yet live and are still scheduled to take effect weeks later, such as February 1st

By Wednesday of that same week, dip buyers step in and spark a relief rally, but this move often fades and leads to another push lower. This is typically where smart money begins buying
On the following weekend, roughly one week later, President Trump posts that discussions are underway and that he is working toward a solution with leaders of the countries targeted by the tariffs
On Sunday evening of that weekend at 6 PM ET, futures open sharply higher as optimism returns, but gains fade into the Monday cash market open

After the Monday open, senior administration officials such as Treasury Secretary Bessent, appear on live television to reassure investors and emphasize progress toward a deal
Over the next 2-4 weeks, various members of the Trump Administration continue to tease progress toward a trade agreement

A trade deal is announced and markets hit new record highs
Repeat from step #1

Of course, this is not a guaranteed roadmap, but in our experience, just about all flareups of the trade war since January 2025 have followed roughly the same path.

Pretty good observation, and useful to make trades based on a corrupt POTUS. However - as soon as his streak breakes, it won't help against the 1929 drop ... but yes, your lifestyle block might be good ...