Swap rates rise substantially.

Started by kiwi2007, May 19, 2023, 10:56 PM

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kiwi2007

.5 jump right across all years.
1 year now the highest it's been since 2008.

https://www.interest.co.nz/charts/interest-rates/swap-rates

Fiordland Moose

#1
Yes I'm glad someone also noticed

Huge increases in various rates

90 day bank bill: from 5.58% on the 15th to 5.79% COB
1 yr swap: 5.51% to 6.0%
2 yr swap: 4.9% to 5.49%
5 yr swap: 4.23% to 4.61%
10yr gov: 4.05% to 4.41%

Implies OCR higher for longer and inversion signals increased chances of recession.

Horrifying, budget induced rises in wholesale interest rates.

Fingers crossed they prove a knee jerk reaction. However, for today anyway, it appears the market is starting to agree with Westpac's call that the OCR will reach 6% (ANZ by reference now 5.75%).  Rates are volatile, but this is a big increase (!)

kiwi2007