Geopolitical Risk

[BlackPeter]

China is the problem...

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2026/01/28/china-helping-russia-build-nuclear-capable-missile/

and has long as CHINA is a problem military weapons will flow to bad actors...

when bad actors have weapons ... they always want to play wit them...

I think China is part of the problem - or better their current leaderhip. Russia is part of the problem - or better their current leadership - and unfortunately the US is a big part of the problem (or better their current leadership). Lets not forget the EU. They are part of the problem as well for choosing to play their usual internal fights preferring their loudest agricultural lobby to determine international relations and in keeping to follow their appeasers and Putin lovers instead of taking the global leadership.

Ah well, we all know how the 1930'ies ended - better prepare for the next big bang. While its difficult to predict which of the fuses in an ammunition depot incinerate first when you allow a bunch of kindergarten bullies to play in there with matches ... the final outcome will be pretty clear.

While I don't expect the Xi's, Putin's and dear leaders to win .... the cost of the war will increase for everybody the longer we allow the autocrats of the world to play their games ...

Lets hope they keep at least their nuclear waste out of the southern hemisphere ...

[Waltzing]

well to do business and thrive you cant just say down here and go fishing although the locals who got here first might disagree and they were not an advanced civilisation...No wheels.. but they might argue there paddles were the best most advanced shapes with the best ART work...

The locals in Kanga land just happened to have some flight engineers ... the things that flys... and has a GPS auto home mode just like your Mimi pro 3 DJI drone...

Simula was created in the  1960's in EUROPE!!! and really is it that different to 1983 at the moment?  Did you panics and stay home then?

No you went forth and i say DONT STAY home and wait .... GO on travel its never been easier or more comfortable even in cattle class..

imagine a migrant in the 1800's sailing out to AUS and NZ... looking at cattle class .... LUXURY!!! and bathroom!!!  what? a person comes to give you a meal and drinks?

what A380?  oh just give me that window single seat... or NZ 3 seater sleeping birth that is a board stuck over some seats...

LUXURY!!

Business class ? oh my gosh palace ... FIRST CLASS!!!!  Just beyond belief!!

CONCORDE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!  NO NOT POSSIBLE!!!

[Waltzing]

Ok those evil russians criminals blew out there budget of january of 20 to 30 Billion... 40 billion was there budget deficit for the entire financial year...

is russia about to economically blow apart just like it did when the USSR fell apart...

[Waltzing]

Could it be that if the US continues to GDP out perform even with tariffs that Europe must look to tax china imports...

they need to hurry up...

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2026/02/12/europes-only-hope-of-avoiding-mass-de-industrialisation/?recomm_id=65383b56-0cf9-4836-866c-5845f8f72523

[Waltzing]

One of the big risks people might be missing is the reliance on so called AI..

If a company or country think AI is going to be the silver bullet think about what might be the risks...

It takes power to drive it.. a lot of power... cut the wires and your defence just disappears...

could AI be your weakness?

well to understand that you need to look deeper in to what AI is???

like what is the base formula at the bottom of AI models??

AH now your talking... have that formula and understand it limitations and you might then be able to get AI to think about it LIMITATIONS..

and what does AI say about it... well it not GOOD... AI soon loses it confidence when faced with the Formula that drives it...

[Waltzing]

Now this is what AI thinks is happening...

Its terrifying reading... is this the next BIG short movie...

https://claude.ai/public/artifacts/0174636f-02de-4fe4-ba9e-c94f392ef4d9

Now i should point out that AI did not just generate that without it being part of a project document container with several days of research being generated and placed in the project documents list.

The topic it researched were not its own selections and many of the research areas were suggested to it and several in deep research articles covering technology developments were undertaken before it.

These developments were technical in nature and even involved the research into control robot Jetson fleets using a new technology not yet know to the public but know to AI who has access to its source code...

Therefore it did suggest its own request to counter the current narrative being that new technologies often generate whole new market dynamics that can never have been envisaged before..

It may turn out that this first AI technology is on fact just the beginning before the age of Quantum Computing.

i do like to leave the odd blonde (blind) typing errors in place somethimes///,,,,.....

[Waltzing]

Does all this ordinance dropping around the world does look like the beginnings of a world war.. is china going to stay on the side lines as its mate get its face kicked in ?

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2026/02/18/us-military-aircraft-heading-towards-iran/

any why is the US doing this now or is it just one man's doing.. 

[Waltzing]

well if you were hoping for some cheap motoring in march.. the best time of the year in LLWC (land of the long white cloud) that went out the door last night...

after all the country in mid march is just fabulous for touring...and fishing and surfing, yatching...

https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-iran-attack-02-28-26-hnk-intl?post-id=cmm68r7wj00203b6rcnae18pg

[Waltzing]

stuff flying around in UAE..

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bViC0XzxJxc

well is that OIL up this week and imagine your trip to the desert to drink tea with Lawrence...well thats off..

now has anyone got a blue ray of that remastered? the music.. the camels.. the sunsets.. the Gin and Tonics ...

[Waltzing]

Well that was funny two american aircraft shoot down y the locals... ooops sorry about that!!!!

American pilots will now be S... there pants everytime they go up now...

Fly middle east!!!  well maybe not...

Its all going to be a mess just like in Back Hawk Down? 

[BlackPeter]

Well that was funny two american aircraft shoot down y the locals... ooops sorry about that!!!!

American pilots will now be S... there pants everytime they go up now...

Fly middle east!!!  well maybe not...

Its all going to be a mess just like in Back Hawk Down? 

I think it was three fighters, nearly the size of the still operable iranian airforce ... taken down by "friendly fire".

Apparantly the F15 costs something like $90 to $97m US dollar each.

I guess the good thing is - it shows us that Western Air defence is good enough to get down Western fighters. But hey - nearly $300m for the US taxpayer to replace these planes. Wondering how much money Donald budgeted for this purpose. Maybe they shouldn't repeat that exercise too often,

Whether it all helps to take down the soldiers of the dark iranian empire, time will tell - but unless they plan for longtime occupation (lots of boots on the ground) and a better plan than the ones they had so far for any of their recent near east military adventures, I doubt it ..

[Waltzing]

anyone met a dedicated follower of the sect. anyone read the bases on which its all based?

If you do you may be shocked at the depth of the commitment.. its as if there is nothing other than end, which is just a beginning.

If you want to study what happens think the Iran Iraq war...

https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/iran-war-us-israel-trump-03-04-26


10,000 british to be air evacuated?... lot of flights? need a big air lift for that...

[Waltzing]

WAR WAR WAR !!!! This is a WAR.... no no no... its not a war.. its a Special Combat Operation....

Did Trump think they would just stop and not go underground....

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/03/middle-east-war-decided-interceptors-missiles

Get ready for OIL and Gas to go .... that right... up up and away and not just in some cloud of smoke....


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ULURWO7Vh3o

[Waltzing]

Nuclear sub base the French singing ... fabulous anthem isnt it..

Sure sounds like some countries are singing before they go to war or prepare for it...

Germans and Poland to join with france and UK to create nuclear umbrella...

Pity the germans got rid of nuclear power still more wind mills then...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YESS6emUrAk

[Waltzing]

We all remember when the US ran head long.. or rather helicopter into the middle east and ended up being .. well.. confused and retreating..

it was that incident they made a movie out of "Black Hawk  Down" and they made it to bolster moral back states side before they went on other rampages across the middle east...

Now apparently the state department has been gutted and now US official offices of state across the middle east have NO IDEA what they are going to do next as Trumps son and the Witty Wit KICK ASS russian Jew havnt turned up to tell them!!!!

The officials in those countries are telling the US Citizens to LEAVE!!!! Any way they can!!!

Its a "A farrago "!!!

It could rival Black Hawk Down by the time they are finished....

Because they dont have a PLAN!!!!!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SCkkMADBeug

just a reminder whats out there people in case you think it all like in Land of the long white cloud....